The official team lists are in for Warriors vs Sea Eagles, with Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad returning at fullback and Te Maire Martin and Chanel Harris-Tavita reunited in the halves for a Warriors side chasing the minor premiership. Manly are unchanged after beating the Dragons, setting up some strong try-scorer and player-prop angles for punters.
Biggest Winners – Warriors
Jacob Laban
Laban has scored five tries in his past five games, which is an outstanding strike rate for a back-rower and makes him one of the most interesting anytime options in the match.
Our Tip: Jacob Laban – Anytime Try Scorer
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
CNK returns at fullback after serving his two-game suspension, with Taine Tuaupiki dropping back to the interchange. His support play should benefit from having the Warriors’ preferred halves combination back together.
Our Tip: Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad – Anytime Try Scorer
Alofiana Khan-Pereira
Khan-Pereira keeps his place on the wing in a Warriors attack that has scored 40 or more points in four of its past five games.
Our Tip: Alofiana Khan-Pereira – Anytime Try Scorer
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Biggest Losers – Warriors
Wayde Egan
Egan is being rested ahead of the finals, with Sam Healey promoted into the starting hooking role.
Betting Impact: Healey becomes the obvious beneficiary, particularly in the tackle market.
Kurt Capewell
Capewell is also being rested, opening the door for Eddie Ieremia-Toeava to receive his first career NRL start in the second row.
Betting Impact: Ieremia-Toeava’s increased minutes make his involvement markets worth checking.
Luke Laulilii
Laulilii is unavailable after suffering a Category 1 HIA against Newcastle, with Adam Pompey taking his place on the wing.
Our Tip: Adam Pompey – Anytime Try Scorer
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Biggest Winners – Sea Eagles
Jason Saab
Saab remains on the wing after scoring five tries across his previous four games at 4 Pines Park. This is a tougher assignment in Auckland, but his combination with Tom Trbojevic keeps him as Manly’s most appealing winger.
Our Tip: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Reuben Garrick
There’s a huge personal milestone in play for Garrick. He enters his 180th and final game for Manly needing two tries to reach 100 tries for the club.
Our Tip: Reuben Garrick – Anytime Try Scorer
For punters looking for something at bigger odds, Garrick 2+ Tries has an obvious storyline attached to it.
Tom Trbojevic
Turbo remains at fullback and is still Manly’s biggest attacking threat, particularly with the Sea Eagles naming an unchanged combination.
Our Tip: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
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Biggest Losers – Sea Eagles
Manly’s Auckland Record
The Sea Eagles haven’t won in Auckland since 2017, creating a significant historical obstacle against a Warriors side playing for the minor premiership.
Our Tip: Warriors – Head-to-Head
Manly’s Right Edge
Khan-Pereira is an obvious concern given the Warriors’ recent attacking output. With Martin and Harris-Tavita returning, the Warriors should have more creativity getting their finishers into space.
Our Tip: Alofiana Khan-Pereira – Anytime Try Scorer
Sea Eagles Forward Pack
Manly face James Fisher-Harris, Mitchell Barnett and Erin Clark through the middle, while the Warriors can also introduce fresh forwards from their interchange.
Betting Impact: I’d favour Warriors attacking markets rather than chasing Manly forward overs.
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Early Betting Verdict
The Warriors’ attack is where I’d start. They’ve scored 40-plus points in four of their past five matches, regain CNK, Martin and Harris-Tavita, and face a Manly side that hasn’t won in Auckland for nine years.
Alofiana Khan-Pereira – Anytime Try Scorer
AKP gets the combination of a high-scoring Warriors attack and the return of their preferred playmakers.
Our Tip: Alofiana Khan-Pereira – Anytime Try Scorer
Jacob Laban – Anytime Try Scorer
This is the standout statistical angle. Laban has scored five tries in his past five matches, yet his position in the second row should ensure a better price than the Warriors’ outside backs.
Our Tip: Jacob Laban – Anytime Try Scorer
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad – Anytime Try Scorer
CNK’s return to fullback should put him straight back into the Warriors’ sweeping attacking shapes and support play through the middle.
Our Tip: Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad – Anytime Try Scorer
Te Maire Martin – Try Assists
Martin returns from his hamstring injury and goes straight back into the No.7 jersey. With the Warriors scoring freely, his creative markets appeal.
Our Tip: Te Maire Martin – 1+ Try Assist
Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
If Manly can threaten the Warriors, Turbo remains the player most likely to be involved.
Our Tip: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
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Sam Healey – Tackles
Egan being rested hands Healey the starting No.9 jersey, making this one of the clearest workload changes produced by the team lists.
Our Tip: Sam Healey – Over Tackles
Best Bet From The Team Lists
Jacob Laban – Anytime Try Scorer
Laban’s recent strike rate is exceptional for a forward, with five tries in his past five games.
The Warriors have also scored at least 40 points in four of their past five and now regain Martin and Harris-Tavita in the halves, giving Laban plenty of opportunity as an edge runner.
Our Tip: Jacob Laban – Anytime Try Scorer
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Value Bet
Reuben Garrick – Anytime Try Scorer
Garrick’s final appearance for Manly gives us an interesting value angle.
He needs two tries to reach 100 for the Sea Eagles, and while that doesn’t guarantee opportunities, Manly will certainly know what’s at stake if they get into attacking position.
Our Tip: Reuben Garrick – Anytime Try Scorer
For a much bigger price, Garrick 2+ Tries is worth checking given the milestone.
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Team List Betting Summary
Best Bet: Jacob Laban – Anytime Try Scorer
Value Bet: Reuben Garrick – Anytime Try Scorer
Warriors Winger: Alofiana Khan-Pereira – Anytime Try Scorer
Warriors Fullback: Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad – Anytime Try Scorer
Sea Eagles Try Scorer: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
Playmaker Prop: Te Maire Martin – 1+ Try Assist
Tackle Prop: Sam Healey – Over Tackles
Team Market: Warriors – Head-to-Head
Higher-Odds Play: Reuben Garrick – 2+ Tries
