NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 17/11

4 years ago - Sportingbase NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 17/11 Image
Just rough luck yesterday with RoCo. Was always going to be tough after he hit his first 2 3’s but I felt pretty good if we made it out of the 3rd quarter we were a chance. He missed a 3, then 30 seconds later took and made another one to go over before checking out straight after. Would take that bet every time if we knew he was only going to play 23 minutes which he did.

Results:
  • -8.26 Units Loss
  • -11% ROI
  • View Results Spreadsheets

Warriors vs Nets 11:40am AEST

Despite the Harris injury I can’t get Bembry above 20 minutes here. He played 12 second half minutes but that included 2:40 of garbage time so it was really only around 9:30, despite them being in control the entire way. The Warriors don’t really have any wing threats (Wiggins, maybe?) that they need Bembry for as it’s much more about containing the backcourt of Steph (and to a lesser extend Poole who drives the second unit) so am expecting Mills to start while Jevon will get a big boost. Bembry is only at 0.22 RA per minute this season, so 20 minutes puts him at 4.4 which is well shy of the 6 RA he needs to bust us. Tough matchup against the best defence in the league who are top 10 in opponent rebounding and assists.

  • DeAndre Bembry UNDER 5.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 1.83 with B365 – 1 unit

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Staking Plan – 1 unit out
  • DeAndre Bembry UNDER 5.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 1.83 with B365 – 1 unit

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