Hawthorn and Brisbane clash at the MCG in Saturday twilight footy for a spot in the 2026 Grand Final. The Hawks sprung back into form with a 32-point upset over minor premiers Fremantle to secure the home Prelim. Brisbane have gone the long way after their disappointing loss to Sydney. They were emphatic in their 53-point win over Adelaide at the Gabba. They chase their 4th consecutive Grand Final and 3rd straight Premiership making them the team to beat.
Both teams will be pleased to be going into a massive game unchanged, although the Lions were sweating on the fitness of small defender Noah Answorth who didn’t come up. He played a massive roll in keeping Nick Watson goalless when the Lions dominated the Hawks in a 67-point victory at the Gabba 6 weeks ago.
Betting Insights-
- Brisbane – Head to Head 1.85
Brisbane has won each of its last seven Saturday matches at the MCG.
- Over (189.5) – Total Game Points – Over/Under 1.90
Eight of Brisbane’s last nine Finals matches have gone OVER the total match points line.
- Will Ashcroft – 30+ Disposals 2.17
Will Ashcroft has recorded 30+ disposals in 10 of Brisbane’s last 12 matches.
- Lachie Neale – 30+ Disposals 3.01
Lachie Neale has recorded 31+ disposals in eight of his last nine appearances at the MCG.
- Jai Newcombe – 25+ Disposals 2.15
Jai Newcombe has recorded 27+ disposals in five of Hawthorn’s last six home matches.
- Nick Watson – 3+ Goals 1.70
Nick Watson has kicked 3+ goals in five of his last six appearances at the MCG.
- Dayne Zorko – 25+ Disposals 1.67
Dayne Zorko has recorded 25+ disposals in each of Brisbane’s last 10 Finals matches.
- Logan Morris – 2+ Goals 1.62
Logan Morris has kicked 2+ goals in each of Brisbane’s last five matches.
- Charlie Cameron – 2+ Goals 1.68
Charlie Cameron has kicked 2+ goals in each of Brisbane’s last 10 night matches.
- Zac Bailey – 2+ Goals 2.35
Zac Bailey has kicked 2+ goals in four of Brisbane’s last five Finals matches.
View our line, disposals, goals & match points tips below
